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About the Blog
The thoughts and theories of a guy who basically should have gone to bed hours ago.
I know, I know - what's the point? But look at it this way - I stayed up late writing it, but you're reading it...
Let's call ourselves even & move on, OK?

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Thursday, August 31, 2006
The Pizza Challenge Lives!
For those who have been wondering what ever happened to the whole Pizza with Regis Philbin thing (and you'd be surprised how many have been wondering), an update from Chenopup:
Just wanted to check in. I spoke to my ABC 4 contact yesterday. I will send her an email detailing what we're doing and she will forward to Buena Vista contact for Regis / Kelly.
We may start some local press on this very soon.
I'll keep you posted. Sorry for the lull.
So there you have it - pizza with Regis is still a possibility.
Stay tuned...
YET ANOTHER UPDATE: Chenopup comes to New York and we eat pizza together! Check it out...
posted by Brian at
2:11 PM
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0 comments

Tuesday, August 29, 2006
Blame it on the Riu
Just got back from a 5-day getaway at the Riu Hotel in Paradise Island. All you can eat and drink for 5 days, plus an awesome beach, super-clear (and warm) ocean water, and a pool to match. I won't bore you with the mundane details of it all, but there were some blogworthy occurences to mention
-- An 8-yr old Bahamanian kid who sat next my wife on the plane down there told her he'd been on many planes, but never one that crashed. He asked my wife if she'd ever been on one that crashed. It's always great to see kids with goals...
-- If anyone was wondering where all the smokers went after American cities starting banning smoking in public places, fear not - I now know the answer. It seems "all you can drink" also draws the "all you can smoke crowd." Before this weekend, I might have told you it was impossible to smoke a cigarette while swimming, but not anymore...
-- During our stay, a Bahamanian couple got married on the beach. Very beautiful, very romantic, yadda yadda yadda. That night, the groom was sitting at a blackjack table with us, losing $100 a hand. On his wedding night. Without his wife. Prognosis is not good...
-- Speaking of the blackjack tables, and mostly because Jeff will ask, there is no Texas Hold'em in Paradise Island. Just some video poker, slots, and the usual array of table games. I lost some money up front, but got hot at thw blackjack table the last night and walked away with an extra $200 for the weekend. No complaints here...
-- Had lunch in the airport Burger King on the trip home. The french fries came in one of those molded paper containers as per usual, but this one was labeled a "Frypod." Shouldn't someone be suing someone about this?
-- Also on the trip home, our plane flew over a rainbow. Got to see the whole circle - very cool. As the songwriter wrote, "Somewhere over the rainbow, bluebirds fly. Birds fly over the rainbow, why oh why can't I?"
posted by Brian at
8:10 AM
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1 comments

Tuesday, August 22, 2006
Odds & Ends
I was reading Instapundit on the train home yesterday (as I often do - Glenn has a PDA version that's perfect for Blackberry browsing), and came across a few interesting items:
First Bill Clinton is praising George W. Bush for his work on AIDS in Africa, and now this - more praise from doctors and relief workers on the ground:
The major reason for [AIDS treatment] success is the Bush administration's AIDS program, which in the last three years has sent billions of dollars to Africa and helped save the lives of hundreds of thousands of people. When I moved to Africa three years ago, the President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief, or PEPFAR, was just getting off the ground. As I return to Washington this month, the $15 billion program is just hitting its stride, and many Africans believe it has become the single most effective initiative in fighting the deadly scourge.
"The greatest impact in HIV prevention and treatment in Africa is PEPFAR-there's nothing that compares," [Dr. John Idoko] said.
When this program was first proposed, it drew criticism for channeling funding to faith-based organizations and for requiring abstinence education. Turns out, only 7 percent of the funding goes to programs that advocate abstinence until after marriage. And here's how the faith-based initiatives are working:
Two years ago in the southwestern African nation of Namibia, Lucy Steinitz, a Jewish Brandeis graduate who was then the head of Catholic AIDS Action, told me that US officials sought out faith-based groups because of common sense: Churches were running many of the country's hospitals and clinics already. The same is the case in many African countries. "Civil society is only just beginning to emerge in Namibia. So what's left? Church is it. I have a lot of skeptical friends back in the US about the funding of faith-based groups, but it works here," she said.
And yet, despite the success, Washington politics continue. A group called Search for Common Ground acted as an independent mediator for a series of meetings in DC last September. More than 30 private groups participated, some common ground was reached, but not enough to issue a recommendation. Last month, after ten months of trying, the mediation effort was abandoned. And all the while, the program they're arguing about is saving lives...
Next, an update on Global Warming: Despite various predictions back in May of a busy hurricane season, this year has been below average. And why? You're not going to believe this:
Part of the reason for the slow season is that tropical western Atlantic sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are running about normal, if not slightly below normal.
The cooler SSTs in the Atlantic are not an isolated anomaly. In a research paper being published next month in Geophysical Research Letters, scientists will show that between 2003 and 2005, globally averaged temperatures in the upper ocean cooled rather dramatically, effectively erasing 20% of the warming that occurred over the previous 48 years.
Huh? What? Talk about your inconvenient truths...
To be fair, the hurricane season is far from over, and some seasons start later than others. Last year, there were eleven storms by this point; this year, we've had three. But in 1992, Hurricane Andrew (the costliest storm on record before Katrina) was the first storm of the season, and didn't strike Miami until August 24th of that year. So we're not out of the woods yet, but it seems clear that those who were ominously warning that the record-setting 2005 season was a base from which future years would build were either fear-mongering or clueless.
The trick now, I think, is to keep up the pressure to rebuild the New Orleans levees, even if the rest of 2006 remains calm.
Finally, there's this from Kevin Drum:
I [should] be more vocal in denouncing Iran. . . It's a repressive, misogynistic, theocratic, terrorist-sponsoring state that stands for everything I stand against. . . .And yet, I know perfectly well that criticism of Iran is not just criticism of Iran. Whether I want it to or not, it also provides support for the Bush administration's determined and deliberate effort to whip up enthusiasm for a military strike. . . . So what to do? For the most part, I end up saying very little. . . . because like it or not, my words - and those of other liberals - would end up being used to advance George Bush's distinctly illiberal ends. And I'm simply not willing to be a pawn in the Bush administration's latest marketing campaign.
The commentary Instapundit linked to points out that Drum is greatly over-estimating his own importance. I think that's right. But there's also this basic logic flaw: if he's afraid his words will provide support for his opponent's actions, then isn't there at least the possibility that he and his opponent agree on this issue? And if not, shouldn't he choose his words carefully to highlight where he and the president overlap and where they differ? Isn't this how useful debate forms? The (rather lengthy) comments section on Drum's site debates this back and forth. If you can sift through the "BUSHISEVIL, BUSHISEVIL, BUSHISEVIL" crowd, it makes for a pretty interesting discussion...
posted by Brian at
11:47 AM
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4 comments

Sunday, August 20, 2006
Virtual Bubblewrap
Whatever you do, don't click on this link unless you have a lot of time on your hands...
Remember - I WARNED YOU!!!
(hat tip: Cranky Robert, from the Simple Tricks & Nonsense comments section).
posted by Brian at
2:21 AM
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0 comments

Using HTML Tables in Blogger Posts
For the three or four of you who are frequent readers of my blog (as opposed to the random 30 or 40 of you who find yourself here via Google searches), you may have noticed that my previous post was formatted really poorly for a while (there was a huge amount of whitespace above the HTML table in the entry).
A little Google searching led me to this Blogger Help page, which explained that Blogger automatically puts a <br /> commands after each line break in a blog post (you can change that in the configuration screen if you want, but then you have to manually put in HTML <br>'s when you type your posts & who wants that...).
Anyway, I had created my table, as many people do, with code that looked like this:
<table> <tr><td>Blah, Blah, Blah</td></tr> <tr><td>Blah, Blah, Blah</td></tr> <tr><td>Blah, Blah, Blah</td></tr> </table>
and so Blogger was adding the <br />'s after each carriage return in that code (which HTML interprets above the table, apparently). The solution, as stated on the help page, is to remove all the carriage returns from the table code, so it looks more like this:
<table><tr><td>Blah, Blah, Blah</td></tr><tr><td>Blah, Blah, Blah</td></tr><tr><td>Blah, Blah, Blah</td></tr></table>
Voila! No whitespace above the table!
I've said it before and I'll say it again: God Bless Google! Both for documenting the problem and the fix so completely on the help page, and then for providing a search engine that made it so easy to find that help page, without going to the Blogger help site & paging through multiple entries...
They've certainly got their bases covered, those Google folks...
posted by Brian at
1:16 AM
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18 comments

Friday, August 18, 2006
More Evidence that 1 in 3 Americans is Completely Clueless
In this post, I marvelled at the fact that 1 in 3 Americans thought our government was somehow involved in the 9/11 attacks and could also not name the year the attacks occurred. And now, here is even more evidence that just about one third of us are off the deep end:
So, here's what I suggest: Look around the room. If you see two other people that aren't crazy, well, you know....
posted by Brian at
10:59 AM
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4 comments

Thursday, August 17, 2006
Top Al Qaeda Man Captured After Being Distracted by JonBenet Story
The Pakistani authorities that arrested Rashid Rauf (the London plane bomb plotter) have linked him to, and subsequently captured, Matiur Rehman - a senior Al Qaeda official who is in frequent contact with Osama Bin Laden's right-hand man, Ayman al Zawahiri. They say Rehman met with Rauf just before the London plot was foiled.
So, four thoughts:
1) Someone ought to tell Bill Clinton it's OK to link the London bomb plot to Al Qaeda now
2) Thank goodness the British government was tapping the phones of the people Rauf's cohort called to order the attack
3) Good for Rehman - now that he's in our custody, he'll enjoy a full array of civil rights, including a federally provided Koran and three square meals a day. Wouldn't want to see anything bad happen to a nice guy like that...
4) Too bad this will dominate the headlines and remove from Page 1 important stories like the confession of a man who claims to have killed a six-year old in Colorado ten years ago...
</snark>
posted by Brian at
11:28 PM
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2 comments

New Features in the Next Blogger Release
Google has released a new beta version of Blogger (which powers this blog). I'll probably wait until it goes live to use it, but there are some mildly interesting new features. The virtual tour is here, and my comments on the features are here:
- Drag & drop editing of the template. Cute, but I prefer to write it myself (or use MSFrontPage for the very obvious stuff).
- Support for multiple authors. This is very interesting to me, as I can envision blogs that I'd be happy to share in, but wouldn't have time to maintain on my own.
- Private blogs - allowing only certain readers to read the blog. Maybe cool for some. For me, meh...
- New stock templates. Ho hum. I never used their templates - choosing instead to make the blog look like a part of the overall site.
- More feed options: Separate feed for comments (I was just telling Jeff Porten that he was the only blogger I know that had a separate RSS feed for his comments. Now I know why. Blogger will also allow for separate feeds for each post's comments, but that strikes me as overkill...
- Updated dashboard. Will have to see this one to judge it. I'm pretty happy with what's there now, but knowing Google, the new interface will be very cool...
- Instant publishing. This is really cool, although I'm not sure what they mean (there must be some concept of publishing if they're putting content on a server & reformatting the blog page...) Maybe they just mean you don't have to click the button anymore? If so, it may be a cool usability feature, but not a big deal at all.
That's all they're saying right now. Anyone else here anything about the product?
posted by Brian at
1:06 AM
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0 comments

Wednesday, August 16, 2006
Do I hear $1,129.09?
Here's a algorithm that estimates the value of your blog based on the number of links it has and the value per link that AOL paid for the Weblogs, Inc. blogs.
I Should Be Sleeping comes in at $1,1289.08. Not a bad sum, until you consider that DailyKos is worth $6.2M, Instapundit is worth $3.5M, and John Scalzi's Whatever is worth just over $500K.
Interestingly enough, JeffPorten.com comes up as being worth 1,026.44 NL HE SNG's. Damn, that's a well written algorithm...
(Hat tip: Scalzi)
posted by Brian at
2:16 PM
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1 comments

Clinton Bashes Bush
I usually don't blog so consistently on political topics, but there seem to be so many blogworthy items lately. I promise to stay on the lookout for more varied topics going forward. Heck - maybe that pizza thing will heat up again soon (Jason? Chenopup? You guys listening? Subtlety was never my strong suit...)
Anyway, Bill Clinton had a few very confusing things to say about the Middle East yesterday:
Clinton, who never mentioned Bush by name, suggested the administration's claims that the British plot looks like the work of Al Qaeda reveals a flaw in its strategy.
"They seem to be anxious to tie it to Al Qaeda," he said. "If that's true, how come we've got seven times as many troops in Iraq as in Afghanistan? Why have we imperiled President [Hamid] Karzai's rule and allowed the Taliban to come back into the southern part of Afghanistan?"
Hmm...two things here: first, "anxious" seems like a loaded term. I've heard various officials (British and American) say that the coordinated, international nature of the plot is similar to Al Qaeda's methods, but that no clear link has been established. This always struck me as a response to the automatic and incessant questions about Al Qaeda that the press asks as soon as the subject of terrorism comes up.
Second, and more interesting, is this implication that we should have more troops in Afghanistan, and that by reducing our forces there, we've "imperiled Karzi's rule." How does this synch with the constant drumbeat of calls to draw down our troops in Iraq? Wouldn't that imperil the Iraqi government and embolden opposing forces in the country? Forgive me if I'm projecting the standard Democratic talking points on Bill Clinton here (maybe he disagrees with some of this?), but if you're going to advocate a "go-it-alone" strategy for the fledgling Iraqi government, you can't very well criticize us for expecting Afghanistan, a somewhat more mature and stable government, to go it alone. If the Taliban is coming back, Karzi should take steps to remove them. If he requires assistance from his allies, he should ask. If we refuse to help, then we deserve the criticism we get...
Bill continues:
The former President also said Democrats who had voted to give Bush the authority to go to war in Iraq - including his wife, Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-N.Y.) - had hoped the threat of war would force former Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein to comply with UN inspections. But the Bush administration went to war before the UN's work was complete, he said.
So the authorization to go to war was really an authorization to threaten war? And apparently the threat was supposed to be an empty one at that? I think Hillary's canned response is more believable (I was for the war, but I don't like the way the Bush administration executed the strategy). The fact that there are multiple rationales weakens them all, though.
After that, Clinton goes on to blast Lieberman for his war position ("his position was the Bush-Cheney-Rumsfeld position"). I hope to God the interviewer's next question was, "Why, then, Mr. President, did you support Lieberman in the primary? Are you in favor of the Bush-Cheney-Rumsfeld position on the war?" But I'm guessing he/she did not.
To top it all off, Clinton praised the Bush administration's efforts to fight AIDS, telling the AIDS conference he was attending that the United States is "spending more to fight the epidemic than any other government." First time I've heard praise for Bush on that front...
OK, I'll stop now. I promise...
posted by Brian at
10:22 AM
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2 comments

Lots of Storage and Fun for the Kids!
Check this out - Lego hard drives!
posted by Brian at
12:12 AM
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0 comments

Tuesday, August 15, 2006
The Ecological Economy?
I have not seen Al Gore's movie, An Inconvenient Truth. But everyone I know that has seen it has told me I need to see it "for my sake and for the sake of my kids." I put that in quotes because everyone who's talked to me about this has used almost those exact words. I'm starting to wonder if the movie ends with a tutorial on how to get others to see it? Or maybe they hand out instruction cards as you leave the theater? Or perhaps it's just that good a film? Whatever they're doing, it seems to be working.
I'll probably see the movie eventually, but given that a babysitter and a night out is a fairly rare occurrence, I'm not likely to dedicate one to a lesson on global warming from a guy who Saturday Night Live used to parody as the most boring man alive. He's got a much better shot at me when the movie appears OnDemand, or in the local video store on DVD.
All of that said, I've read quite a bit about the movie, I've seen the trailer, and I've seen Al Gore on various talk shows discussing it and showing clips, so in the all-too-forgiving world of the blogosphere, I feel more than qualified to give my (somewhat uninformed) opinion on the topic.
From what I've seen and read, the global warming issue seems divided into two camps: those who think it is the single largest threat facing mankind today, and those who think it's an unproven scientific theory that requires more research, at least until the people who think this way no longer hold political power and don't have to do anything about it. As is often the case with debates like this, I find this dichotomy frustrating, because it prevents a whole lot of honest, thoughtful discussion on the topic. For instance:
Let's stipulate, for the purposes of quieting the anti-Gore crowd, that global warming is a real problem, and that it's caused by human activity. I've also read that we've already put enough pollutants in the air that regardless of what we do, global warming will continue unabated for the next X years (10>X>90). And I've seen the clips of the computer generated models, demonstrating that Florida and lower Manhattan will eventually be underwater if nothing is done. For the sake of argument, let's assume all of that is true as well.
So here's my question: Can we also stipulate that migrating the world's economy, or even just the American economy, to a model that doesn't depend heavily on fossil fuels (cars, yes, but also oil for heating/cooling systems, electricity, factories, public transportation, shipping, etc., etc.) would be a colossal undertaking, and that even in the best of social, economic and political conditions, it would take decades and billions of dollars of investment to make it happen? And if so, can we stipulate that even in the best case scenario, the current global warming problem will continue for decades to come?
I ask these questions not to imply that we shouldn't do anything about global warming, but to suggest a parallel course of action that no one seems to have mentioned: the economic transformation approach. If all of the above is true, there are literally billions of dollars in profit just waiting for the taking in the coming years. This money will go to the corporation that figures out how to make levees work properly, or whoever builds a better hurricane detection system, or the guy that invents a way to make homes/buildings more resistant to storms and floods, or the scientist who invents a way to weaken and/or alter the path of a tropical storm, etc.. While we're working on the electric car, the solar-powered factory and other preventative measures, why aren't we also encouraging investment in protective measures as well?
I bring this up for two reasons: First, if all the predictions are indeed correct, we'll desperately need these technologies at some point down the road. Second, and perhaps more importantly, this tack provides for new economic development, as opposed to disruptive investment in the existing economy. The incentives are exactly opposite to the ones standing in the way of what Gore, et. al are advocating: new money chasing new technology, with the possibility of moving the economy onto a totally different growth curve. And the financial gains from this brand new industry can be used (read: taxed) to defer the cost of the more traditional anti-global warming measures we're currently discussing.
This kind of thinking isn't new to Al Gore. It was his leadership (among others, of course) that helped transform us from an Industrial economy in the 1980's to an Information economy in the 90's and 00's (and led to that whole nasty business about him "inventing the Internet.") The change powered the longest peacetime expansion in our nation's history and, despite the bursting of the internet bubble, has retained a great deal of its value in terms of new technologies, new industries, etc.
I'd think he would jump at the chance to migrate us once again, this time from the Information economy to the Ecological economy. Unless he's worried that someone will one day accuse him of inventing the environment...
posted by Brian at
5:03 PM
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3 comments

From the Grimly Ironic file...
All this work to keep bombs off planes, and it turns out the unsuspecting laptop user may be a potential risk.
posted by Brian at
9:41 AM
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1 comments

Monday, August 14, 2006
On Politics - August, 2006
There have been a few political events in the past few weeks that made me think, "Hey - I should blog about that," but I'd keep getting too busy (or too tired) to write up an entry. So, I figure I'll put some comments about each of them in one entry and see what interest it generates (i.e., will anyone other than Jeff comment?). If this sort of thing bores you, move on now. You've been warned.
First, the Democratic primary for senator in Connecticut. Jeff Porten has a couple of great posts up about how the Democrats are missing yet another opportunity here, and I have a couple of posts up as well. We have different takes on some of the particulars, but oddly enough, we are pretty much in agreement on this one.
(In other news, all the pigs are flying out of Hell because it's getting too chilly, and Massachusetts has just approved cat/dog marriages.)
One thing we both agree on is the nasty nature of Dick Cheney's remarks after the primary was over. The Vice President said that the Lamont victory might "embolden al Qaeda types," because it would be seen as a weakening of America's resolve vis-a-vis the war. This is dumb for several reasons, but mainly it's dumb because it implies that the next terrorist attack is somehow the fault of those who voted against the current administration's policies. If anything, I'd rather see the grandiose, made-for-TV protests stop (oh yeah, they have stopped, haven't they?) and have people express their displeasure at the polls. It's a more effective form of protest, it actually generates progress for the cause it advocates, and if anything, it shows the terrorists that the American people will have their voices heard, even if they disagree with their leaders. Also, an elected official should never be discouraging people from voting, no matter what the circumstances.
So Cheney did a dumb thing. Except that Cheney also did a smart thing, because he (and the rest of the GOP) have learned from recent history that this stuff works like magic where the Democrats are concerned. Instead of talking about democracy and the sanctity of "one man, one vote," here are samples of remarks from both parties on the issue:
Senator Harry Reid (D-NV): "Once again, GOP (Republican) leaders are using terrorism and our national security as a political wedge issue. It is disgusting -- but not surprising."
George W. Bush: "Unfortunately, some have suggested recently that the terrorist threat is being used for partisan political advantage. We can have legitimate disagreements about the best way to fight the terrorists, yet there should be no disagreement about the dangers we face."
Reid is wrong here and Bush is right. Terrorism and national security ARE political issues, and SHOULD be used as such. It is, after all, our politicians that decide how/when/where to fight terrorism and maintain national security. I can't think of a more appropriate topic for the political arena.
What Reid is trying to do here is suggest that the Republicans are benefiting from the suffering of others (as the DNC did when Bush put a scene from Ground Zero into one of his campaign ads). The comparison falls flat here, though, because there wasn't any suffering. This was a failed terrorist plot, and the way in which it was foiled, as well our government's reaction in it's aftermath are legitimate political discussions.
Speaking of government reaction, this entire ordeal has provided an interesting insight into British politics and civil rights that I had not seen before. For example, despite all our hand-wringing over wiretapping and financial surveillance, it was these kinds of techniques that led us to Rashid Rauf, who was arrested in Pakistan and led the British authorities to arrest 24 additional suspects. And while we complain about all the secrets our government keeps from the mainstream media, this article suggests that things are much worse in Britain:
Since 24 people were arrested last Thursday, it has largely been left to the United States and Pakistan to elaborate on what British police said was an "attempt to commit mass murder on an unimaginable scale".
After 72 hours of caution, Home Secretary John Reid and the government's most senior law adviser, Attorney General Lord Peter Goldsmith, reminded the media to "exercise considerable restraint" in their reporting.
They cited the Contempt of Court Act 1981, which essentially prohibits the publication of any information after an arrest that may give rise to a substantial risk of serious prejudice at any future trial.
The article also mentions that British law allows the government to hold a security suspect for 28 days without charging him. We've had complaints about this kind of thing in the U.S., but have never come close to passing such a law. Finally, did anyone notice that the restrictions placed on air travel by the British were far more invasive than those of the Americans? No carry-on bags of any kind, no electronic devices and no liquids. One woman was dreading have to spend an entire 8-hour flight without her iPod.
So, it turns out that our "govern by fear" administration provides more information to its public, treats its suspects better, and respects the civil liberties of its citizens more than our friends in the United Kingdom.
Something to remember next time you hear someone say we're on the road to fascism in America...
posted by Brian at
9:44 PM
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10 comments

Thursday, August 10, 2006
Poll Results: 1 in 3 Americans is Completely Clueless
Recently, John Scalzi expressed his disbelief about a poll showing that 36% of Americans believe our government was somehow involved in the 9/11 terrorist attacks.
Now, there's this:
SOME 30 per cent of Americans cannot say in what year the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks against New York's World Trade Centre and the Pentagon in Washington took place, according to a poll published in the Washington Post newspaper.
All I can say is I hope these are roughly the same group of people.
The article goes on to point out that 95% could remember the month and date of the attacks. Thank God for small favors...
Is there any way we could potentially tag these people and prevent them from responding to polls in the future? After that, we can talk about voting rights...
posted by Brian at
12:40 PM
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0 comments

Wednesday, August 09, 2006
So What's Up with the Pizza?
I know, I know - I got everybody excited with talk of pizza and Regis a couple of weeks ago and then SILENCE. What gives, right?
Well, here's the update from Jason Bennion, our correspondent on the ground in Salt Lake City. Seems Dave (proprietor of Este pizza) is still working on transportation logistics, and Chenopup is still working on TV coverage. Also, Jason has sampled the competition and offers this promising review:
The pizza is indeed similar to what I remember eating in New York ten years ago: a thin, flexible but not-too-chewy crust, not too much sauce or cheese, and served in massive wedges that must be folded in half to be easily manipulated. As for the flavor, well... it's good. It's damn good, in fact.
As Glenn Reynolds would say, read the whole thing.
UPDATE: For the most recent update, click here.
posted by Brian at
2:59 PM
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0 comments

How Can 136,042 People be So Dumb?
Ned Lamont beat Joe Lieberman in the Democratic primary last night by a tally of 146,061 (52%) to 136,042 (48%), in what has repeatedly been called a referrendum on President Bush's foreign policy and the war in Iraq. I find it fascinating, though, that polling on the war itself is much more polarized (60% / 36%, according to the latest CNN poll). It's almost as if opinion on a generic issue doesn't fully translate when people are voting for an individual candidate. Now, I wonder where I've heard that before?
Speaking of voting for an individual candidate, I'm also fascinated by those who endorsed Lieberman through yesterday, but are now coming out squarely in favor of Lamont. If you take it as a given that Lamont and Lieberman disagree on many issues (the war being chief among them), then I would think these "blind Democrats" would have some explaining to do. Do you support the war or not? If not, why did you back a pro-war candidate for senator? If so, why are you backing Lamont now?
If their only concern is putting a Democrat in the seat, regardless of what that Democrat believes, I would think that all but the died-in-the-wool party faithful (in Connecticut and elsewhere) could be swayed with a solid, issue-oriented campaign.
posted by Brian at
8:25 AM
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2 comments

Monday, August 07, 2006
The Democrats Prepare to Lose to the Least Popular Bush Yet...
Jeff Porten is aghast at the concerns expressed by key Democratic leaders that the Democratic voters won't turn up in sufficient numbers to defeat the Republican majorities in the House and Senate in the 2006 midterm elections. Specifically, he charges them with not properly communicating the obvious reasons why every Democrat in the country should turn out to vote. Summarized, and with Jeff's original links (all from today's Washington Post), they are as follows:
1) The Republicans are screwing up the reconstruction effort in Iraq. 2) The Republicans are hurting our troops' mental health in Iraq. 3) The Republicans are soft on the environment. 4) The Republicans lied to the 9/11 commission on how the FAA & NORAD reacted to the terrorist attacks. 5) The Republicans are abusing power with regard to the use of special military courts. 6) The Republicans are (still) soft on the environment. 7) The Republicans have overused and underfunded the National Guard. 8) The Republicans are (still) soft on the environment. 9) The Republicans have failed to stabilize Iraq. 10) The Republicans have (still) failed to stabilize Iraq. 11) The Republicans have ineffectively run the FDA, as evidenced by their inability to review and approve the emergency contraceptive pill Plan B. 12) The Republicans have maintained a presence on the Kansas State Board of Education with someone who believes Intelligent Design should be taught in classrooms instead of (or along side of?) Darwinism.
As I see it, Jeff is right to criticize the Democratic leaders, but then proceeds to commit the same exact sin he's accusing them of committing. Instead, they should take the advice of their target market: a socially moderate, registered Republican in a democratic-leaning state with a significant number of electoral votes (read: me). OK, everyone listening? Here goes:
1) Your message has not been communicated well, and that's something you need to get better at doing.
2) Your message has got to be something more than "The Republicans <insert bad thing here>." As long as that's all you're doing, whatever debate occurs will focus on the Republicans' agenda, and I promise you they have arguments prepared to defend their positions on each of these issues.
3) The only people you're going to convince with these arguments are the people that would vote for a Democratic doorknob before any Republican. Even the best GOTV campaign is not going to win an election with only these people. As incredible as it may seem to people within that group, the group isn't large enough to elect a significant number of people (and certainly not the President of the United States).
4) The reason for #3 is that all of the hypothetical Republican bashing melts away as soon as people are faced with a choice between an actual Democrat and an actual Republican. It's far easier to paint the opposition party as evil monsters than a particular individual. Why? Because that individual will stand up and explain his position. And if he's a halfway decent politician (and, let's face it, all of them are), he's going to come off sounding dramatically less evil than your GOTV campaign implies. Lots of people will hate the Republicans in general, but vote for their own, incumbent Congressman because "he's a good guy who gets it."
5) The way to escape this vicious cycle is to find candidates with their own ideas on how to lead. Bill Clinton was such a candidate, and it's the reason he's the only Democrat to serve two terms as President since FDR. JFK was that kind of candidate too, but we'll never know how his second election would have turned out. Even Al Gore had a lot of independent ideas (the environment, the social security lockbox, and others), and he probably would have won if he stuck to his message during the campaign, rather than saying absolutely anything that he thought would help secure him a victory.
6) The focus on a "Democratic position" on key issues masks this kind of independent thought. Example: the recent kerfuffle amongst Democrats about when/how many troops we should pull out of Iraq (40,000 right now! Half by the end of the year! All of them by next Fourth of July!) not only makes the party look disorganized, but if a particular candidate actually has a well-reasoned plan for troop withdrawal, including an understanding of what the troops are doing now, who will take over those responsibilities, how long it will take, and what that means for troop levels, it's instantly going to get compared with the various proposals on the table, and fall into a "me too!" category in the next News Cataloging story. He/She will not get the credit he/she deserves for actually thinking it through.
So, take my advice for what it's worth: stop trying to get the whole party elected. Put together the best & brightest minds in the party, sit down with the candidates, and help each one of them shape their message so that their respective constituents know where they stand.
Make the messages start with "The Democrats <insert good thing here>, instead of waiting for Bush to "boil puppies," as Jeff so eloquently puts it. Debate those issues in your local races. Convince the disgruntled Republicans that their Democratic candidate is a "good guy who gets it," and give them a reason to vote for him/her.
It's not as sexy as some grand, national strategy, but it's what your opponents are doing every day, and it's why they keep winning, despite how much you've convinced everyone to hate them.
posted by Brian at
11:27 PM
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2 comments

Daily Kos - Where do they find these people?
Recently, I've been visiting Daily Kos on a regular basis, just to see what all the hype is about. My conclusion after just a few weeks? Wow, these folks are nuts. I mean certifiably looney. Just about every post is a hard slam against some Republican official (at least one in three is against President Bush), and the rest are slamming Joe Lieberman, persona non grata in the Democratic party these days. I honestly don't care who wins the Connecticut Democratic Primary, but I kind of hope Lieberman pulls it out just to see what these folks do in the subsequent days. And then ultimately, will they support Lieberman in the general election, or endorse the Republican? It will be interesting times in Kosland, that's for sure.
Oh, and every post gets 200+ commenters, all of whom agree with the poster. There is no semblance of debate or discussion, just a lot of "well put, Bob!" and "Here, here!" I can only assume that those with differing opinions (like myself) stay away because it's just not worth screaming into that much wind.
Anyway, here's the latest example of the craziness I've found over there:
Alaska oil production will be severely curtailed as BP investigates pipeline problems.
In the world of Big Oil, this is cause for celebration. While supplies shouldn't be affected (the outage is 2.6 percent of American daily consumption and reserves are high), it'll give oil companies another excuse to jack up prices and continue on its record gouging of American consumers.
Kos is apparently unaware (or assumes that we are unaware) that the oil companies don't set the price of oil, the commodity markets do. In fact, he goes on to quote an article that calls the U.S. market well-supplied, but in "very high anxiety." He translates "high anxiety" to "high opportunity" for ... what else?
Oil giant Exxon Mobil has posted the second-largest quarterly profit ever recorded by a publicly-traded US firm.
Helped by high oil prices, the company earned $10.4bn (£5.6bn) in the second quarter of 2006 - a 36% increase on the same period of 2005.
Exxon, which is the world's biggest oil company, said its quarterly revenues rose by 12% to $99bn.
Of course, this data is from July 27th, two full weeks before the news of the Alaska pipeline problem. If anything, he's proven that rising oil company profits are not related to shutdowns in domestic pipelines, but his juxtaposition seems to indicate the exact opposite.
Sorry, Kos. I ain't biting...
posted by Brian at
10:48 PM
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0 comments

Tuesday, August 01, 2006
Proof that there's Karma in the World
This is among the most bizarre stories I've ever heard:
A waitress in Westlake, OH loses her wallet in a bar in nearby Lakewood, OH on July 9th. The person who stole it sells her drivers license to another woman, Maria Bergan, who is 23 years old. Two weeks later, Ms. Bergan walks into a bar in Westlake and is asked for ID to prove she is 21. She hands the waitress the stolen license she just purchased and (wait for it...) the waitress recognizes it as HER OWN LICENSE!!! Ms. Bergan is arrested and charged with identity theft and receiving stolen property. Says police captain Guy Turner:
"The odds of this waitress recovering her own license defy calculation."
Indeed. Almost as high, in fact, as the odds of someone who is over 21 using a stolen license to prove she's over 21.
As Brannon Denning (guest Instapundit blogger) says, Doh!
posted by Brian at
5:23 PM
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0 comments

More amazing technology on its way...
Dr. Ulf Leonhardt of St. Andrews University in Scotland has described a theoretical device that can make people invisible.
posted by Brian at
9:40 AM
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0 comments

How People Find Me - July Edition
Fascinating Google searches that led people to my site in the month of July:
- condi headache (4 / 232,000)
- internet is not a truck it is a njtransit (>100 / 33,900)
- net neutraliity (2 / 10)*
- how to wire a dsl jack (33 / 1,230,000)**
- economics of nintendo in the 1980's (>100 / 11,200)
- clonk scenarios (>100 / 565)***
- christie brinkley now (>100 / 504,000)
- finding naked pictures (>100 / 20,100,000)
- argument on demand (>100 / 45,600,000)
- no whammies no whammiesstop (1 / 3)****
- couple sleeping positions meaning (>100 / 13,500,000)
*: That's right, I'm one of the prime resources for people who are interested in net neutrality but can't spell "neutrality." **: Somewhere, Steve Walsh is laughing his ass off... ***: I have no idea what a "clonk" is, nor does that word appear on my website. Google bug? ****: If you put the space before the word "stop," I drop to 7 / 777,000. Still, a fitting tribute to, er...what's his name. You know - the Whammy guy.
posted by Brian at
12:14 AM
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